On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NUPL metric currently has values that would suggest the bear market is yet to hit in full swing, if the coin is in one. Bitcoin NUPL Value Still Not As Low As Previous Bear Markets As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC NUPL metric suggests market hasn’t neared a bear market bottom yet. The “net unrealized profile/loss” (or NUPL in short) is an indicator that tells us about the ratio of profit and loss in the Bitcoin market. The metric’s value is calculated by taking the difference between the market cap and the realized cap, and dividing it by the market cap. When the NUPL has a value greater than zero, it means there are more coins in profit than ones in loss at the moment. On the other hand, negative values of the indicator imply that investors are, on average, in a state of loss right now. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bullish Signal: Exchange Reserve Loses Another 50k BTC Over Past Week Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NUPL over the history of the crypto: Looks like the value of the indicator is still above zero | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin NUPL metric has often been able to predict top and bottom formations through its various colored zones. In the previous bear markets, the indicator’s value has usually fallen off below zero (blue) as a bottom approached. In the lead up...
